Researching demographics on environmental causes

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  • #62652
    Eli
    Participant

    Population of Arizona in 2011: 6,482,505

    Source: Wikipedia
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona#Demographics

    New cancer cases in Arizona, 2012 estimate: 31,990

    Source: American Cancer Society
    http://www.cancer.org/acs/groups/content/@epidemiologysurveilance/documents/document/acspc-031941.pdf

    31,990 / 6,482,505 = 0.004934821

    Or, in other words:

    Incidence rate of cancer in Arizona is 493 new cancer cases per year per 100,000 of population.

    Population of Sedona in 2010: 10,031

    Source: Wikipedia
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sedona

    If we take Arizona cancer rate and apply it to Sedona, Sedona is expected to have this many new cancer cases each and every year:

    10,031 * 0.004934821 = 49.5

    Kristin, my question to you is this:

    What is the actual number of new cancer cases diagnosed in town each year? Is it much higher than the estimate I gave you? If the actual number is close to the estimate, it means that your town is doing no worse than the state as a whole.

    #62651
    pcl1029
    Member

    Hi,
    Thanks for posting the question.
    But if I may suggest, if people especially the younger generation who love and enjoy sushi; unless it is from a very reputable and expensive sushi restaurant; ; the raw fish may come from sources other than Japan; such as Thailand or Vietnam or even China or the southeast Asia region, then the frozen raw fish may contain the eggs of the liver worms and thus increase the chance to have cholangiocarcinoma or other forms of liver problems. Same reasoning for the people enjoy Thai or Vietnamese cooking especially the “hot pot”, if the water is not hot enough ;the same problem will exist too.
    The other reason that the cholangiocarcinoma be detected more and more every year may be contributed to better diagnosis and awareness of the sub-types of the liver disease.
    God bless.

    #62650
    marions
    Moderator

    Kristin…I am sorry to hear of the development within your City. Would you please share a bit more with us:
    What do you suspect is the reason for the cluster of cancer occurrences?
    What do you intend to do with the names and addresses solicited from this site?
    I would love to hear from you.

    Best,
    Marion

    #7064
    sedona
    Member

    My name is Kristin, I live in Sedona, Arizona. My young neighbor died this year of Cholangiocarcinoma. Two weeks later another neighbor died of a sudden onset of pancreatic cancer. Many of my neighbors including myself and my husband have liver pain, liver, spasms, swollen livers and elevated liver enzymes. I am 43 years old and do not drink. My husband is a Naturopathic doctor.

    I believe we have found a previously unknown environmental cause of this disease. I would like to hear from everyone: name, age, location of home, length of time living there, date of diagnosis.

    Sedona is a small town with no industry, yet we have many teenagers with cancer, including ovarian cancer which is a disease of older women.

    My email is: sedonaschnebly@yahoo.com
    My telephone number is 928-202-3612.

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