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July 6, 2013 at 9:55 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #678102000milerSpectator
Thanks maryvz, I didn’t know that. I’ve downloaded all 15,229 of the cholangiocarcinoma cases in the SEER. I checked the SEER registry for those cases and none of them are from the Veterans Administration, so perhaps they just don’t include them in their public database anymore.
I wouldn’t say this is a flaw in their data since many cancer facilities in the United States don’t report their cases to the SEER. The cancer facilities in your state of Virginia don’t report. SEER estimates they cover about 28% of the US population, but when they started in 1973, they didn’t have anywhere near that percentage. The cancer facilities in my state of Louisiana started in 2000.
Bruce
July 4, 2013 at 2:59 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #678072000milerSpectatorPercy, the 12 locations for the positive nodes are:
Abdomen
Abdomen
Celiac
Diaphragm
Gall Bladder
Gall Bladder
Hilar
Liver
Liver
Near liver
Pancreas
Pericardial, etc.I believe that most of those patients who did not report lymph node status did not have positive LNs. Assuming that this was the case for all who did not report LN status, the percentage of all patients with positive LN status would be 14.5%. I’ll have to check other sources to see if this is about what should be expected.
Bruce
July 3, 2013 at 10:09 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #678052000milerSpectatorHi Percy,
I keep track of the number of positive lymph nodes and their regions. I don’t think anyone has ever reported the next organ that will be affected based on the region, but if someone did, I would add a column and record that also.
Of the 498 cc patients for which I have recorded data, 117 have reported their lymph node status, and 12 reported the location of the affected LNs. The 117 was divided into 45 with 0 positive LNs, 44 with an exact count of the positive LNs, and 28 with more than 1 positive LNs.
Bruce
July 3, 2013 at 3:25 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #678032000milerSpectatorI previously thought that the Roux-en-Y procedure was just done for extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. However, while reviewing the article “Treatment outcomes and prognostic factors of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma,” by R. Dhanasekaran, et al,
http://www.spandidos-publications.com/or/29/4/1259
I found the statement, “Extrahepatic bile duct resection with Roux-en-Y reconstruction was carried out in patients (ie IHCC patients) with bile duct invasion or lymph node metastases.” My wife had IHCC with a single positive LN and I remember the surgeon telling us that he was going to do something beyond a simple resection, and it would be more like surgery for extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. I checked the pathology report and the extrahepatic bile duct was listed as a specimen. I’ll ask the surgeon about it at our next meeting.
Bruce
June 14, 2013 at 9:15 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #678012000milerSpectatorThanks Marion. I was able to download Patel’s paper off the Medscape site. I set up my account with them months ago. The paper was proceeded by almost 3 pages of Medscape stuff, but it was there. Altogether, there were 24 pages.
Also, thanks for the advice on the unpublished phase II clinical trial results. I haven’t written the clinical investigator about the results, but I intend to.
Bruce
June 14, 2013 at 4:00 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677982000milerSpectatorEli, here’s another.
The AJCC Staging Manual, 7th edition describes the three geographical regions for cholangiocarcinoma as intrahepatic, perihilar, and extrahepatic. Others have referred to perihilar as Klatskin and extrahepatic as distal. Perihilar (Klatskin) and extrahepatic (distal) together have been referred to as extrahepatic, which is very confusing since the same name is used to describe two different locations.
Now, some authors refer to intrahepatic cc as consisting of peripheral cc and hilar cc, with hilar cc originating from a main hepatic duct or from the bifurcation of the common hepatic duct.
Is there any difference between the hilar cc that is referred to as being intrahepatic cc and the perihilar cc that is referred to as being extrahepatic cc?
Bruce
June 12, 2013 at 6:06 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677962000milerSpectatorI just noticed that the clinical trial, NCT00123825, “A Phase II Trial of Gemcitabine and Cisplatin in Unresectable Or Metastatic Biliary Tract and Gallbladder Cancers,” sponsor Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, was completed on 10/01/2007, but there was no published paper on its results.
Is this common practice?
Bruce
June 11, 2013 at 1:53 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677942000milerSpectatorThanks Eli for the distinction between ampullary and periampullary. I missed that completely.
There appears to be something left out of the following sentence in the paper. Are they trying to say something like distal cholangiocarcinoma account for 27% of the extrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma accounts for 60-80%, or maybe 73% if the 27% is correct.
“Carcinoma of the distal bile duct: Cholangiocarcinoma is a rare malignancy of the biliary tract occurring in 27% in the distal bile duct, however the hepatic bifurcation is the most frequent involved site (60–80% of the cases).”
I’m still trying to find out where the 1973-2009 distal bile duct cancer is located in the SEER. I figure it must be there, but just coded unusually. I thought this may have something to do with it.
Bruce
June 11, 2013 at 12:28 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677922000milerSpectatorBetween 1987 and 1995, a phase III trial of the EORTC (European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer) Gastrointestinal Tract Cancer Cooperative Group to determine the effectiveness of adjuvant radiotherapy and 5-Fluorouracil after curative resection of cancer of the pancreas and periampullary region. The results are presented at the following link:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1420941/pdf/19991200s00006p776.pdf
The author state that the cancer in the periampullary region is periampullary carcinoma and it occurs in the ampulla of Vater, duodenum, and the distal common bile duct. The authors also state that in periampullary cancer, the 2-year survival rate was 63% in the observation group and 67% in the group that had adjuvant therapy, however p=0.737 for their analysis which means that the results were not statistically significant.
I became interested in this because it was a phase III test involving adjuvant therapy and the distal common bile duct was mentioned. My problem was that I couldn’t find if periampullary carcinoma was cholangiocarcinoma. The paper “Adjuvant treatment in biliary tract cancer: To treat or not to treat?” has 11 references to periampullary cancer including adenocarcinoma of ampulla of Vater (4), periampullary cancer (2) ampulla of Vater cancer (1) ampullary carcinoma (2), and ampullary adenocarcinoma (2), the second most references for a paper on biliary tract cancer, the first being gallbladder. I could not find mention of periampullary, ampulla or Vater in ICD-O-3 (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd edition) although I did find it as Code 156.2 in the 1st edition, and C24.1 in the 2nd edition. In the 1st edition, it was coded with the “gallbladder and extrahepatic bile ducts” and in the 2nd edition, it was coded with “other and unspecified parts of biliary tract.”
Page 74 of the paper,
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2993146/pdf/umj7902-070.pdf
states, “However, only 75% of periampullary tumours are truly of pancreatic origin . . . ” but doesn’t mention what the other 25% are.
Does anyone have more information about periampullary tumours and could they be cholangioncarnoma?
Bruce
June 6, 2013 at 1:28 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677902000milerSpectatorMarion – OK, I fully understand the need for larger Phase III studies for chemo. But then, let me pose the question, “Where is the Phase III study that proves resection is better than no resection?” I think it is almost universally accepted that resection is better. What is that based on?
Bruce
June 6, 2013 at 2:22 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677882000milerSpectatorMarion – If you mean there are no large (phase 3) randomized studies reflecting survival benefit derived from post resection adjuvant therapy, I agree with that.
However, there are small retrospective studies, based on small to large populations, that show there is a benefit. There are others that also say there is no benefit. Maybe others even show a negative impact.
Just glancing at some of the papers on my desk:
1. Murakami, “Gemcitabine-based adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival after aggressive surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma,”, 2009, 42 patients, “Five-year actuarial survival rates of patients who did or did not receive adjuvant gemcitabine-based chemotherapy were 57% and 23%, respectively (P=0.026).”
2. Shinohara, “Radiotherpy is associated with improved survival in adjuvant and palliative treatment of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas”, 2009, 4,758 patients, “The median overall survival time was 16 months for surgery and RT and 9 months for surgery alone.
3. Nakeeb, “Radiation therapy, chemotherapy and chemoradiation in hilar cholagiocarcinoma”, 2005, “A carefully controlled trial from the John Hopkins Hospital did not demonstrate any benefit for adjuvant radiation therapy. A number of phase II trials of chemotherapy have demonstrated modest response rates (20-40%)…… Neither radiation therapy nor chemotherapy alone has been proven to prolong survival in completely or partially resected patients or in unresected patients.”
4. Cereda, “Adjuvant treatment in biliary tract cancer: To treat or not to treat?”, 2011, “A retrospective series of 73 patients with gallbladder cancer treated between 1985 and 2004 at Mayo Clinic suggested that adjuvant CRT may obtain a statistically significant improvement in OS only for patients with lymph node involvement ….. A more recent phase III trial exploring the role of single agent adjuvant chemotherapy with either gemcitabine or 5-fluorouracil, in 304 patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma submitted to curative resection did not demonstrate a survival benefit for any of the adjuvant therapy arms when compared to surgery alone.”
And there are many more. I should look at all this in detail and try and figure out why the results vary so much.
Bruce
June 5, 2013 at 8:12 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677862000milerSpectatorThe following survival plot is for resected SEER cholangiocarcinoma patients. As for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma plot, I used the database “Incidence – SEER 18 Regs Research Data + Hurricane Katrina Impacted Louisiana Cases, Nov 2012 Sub (1973-2010 varying)” and the Site and Morphology “CS Schema v0204.” This site has data coded as BileDucts Perihilar, BileDuctsDistal, BileDuctsIntraHepat, and BiliaryOther. Unfortunately, Klatskin data has been incorrected coded and placed in all four lists plus other unidentified locations. However, it appears all the Klatskin data is also coded in the site ICD-O-3 Hist/behav. There were 1362 cases of Klatskin in this site. These were duplicated in the other lists with 779 in the BilesDuctIntraHepat, 527 in the BilesDuctPerihilar (where they all should have been), 1 in BileDuctDistal, 31 in OtherBiliary, and 24 in unknown lists. The analyzed database for ECC was Perihilar & Distal without Klatskin and the Klatskin list form ICD-O-3 Hist/behav.
Again the survival curves below show that a single postive node substantially reduces survival for patients who have resected extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, although the reduction is not as much as for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, 63.1% for ECC vs. 38.9% for ICC for median survivals.
Patients in the database were eliminated from the analysis based on the same criteria used for the intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma analysis. A total of 336 patients were used in the analysis. These patients were diagnosed with extrahepatic cc from 1998 – 2010, median 2006. Their ages ranged from 12 – 87, median 65 years.
Median survival is 2.25 years for 0 positive LNs and 1.42 years for 1 positive LN. Statistical parameters for the analysis are Chsq = 17, 1 degree of freedom, p = 3.82 e-05.
The longest survivor in the database was a deceased man from Alameda County, CA with a resected Klatskin tumor, 22.8 years. He is not included in the analsis.
Bruce Baird
June 5, 2013 at 6:04 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677852000milerSpectatorMarion – According to the literature, the BILCAP trial is studying the effects of capecitabine (Xeloda), not Gemzar, vs. no capecitabine, for R0 & R1 resected intrahepatic cc, extrahepatic cc (Klatskin, hilar), lower common bile duct cc (distal), and muscle invasive gallbladder cancer. As stated in their literature, the primary objective is an increase in 2-year survival from 20% to 32%. Patients are from England and Wales.
Right now GemCis seems to be the “standard” for adjuvant therapy, even thought many oncologists are still prescribing other chemo therapies. This “standardizaton” is most likely based on the results of ABC-02 trial which compared the results of GemCis with those of Gemzar alone for 410 patients from the United Kingdom with locally advanced or metastatic cholangiocarcinoma, gallbladder cancer, or ampullary cancer. The results were a median overall survival of 11.7 months for the GemCis group vs. 8.1 months for the Gemzar group. Time started from the date of randomization, not from the date of diagnosis.
Now, my SEER data plots of survival for resected IHCC & ECC (Klatskin + distal), shows that in the USA, 2-year survival is about 55% for 0 positive node, and about 30% for 1 positive node. These results include patients who are R0, R1, and R2, may or may not have had chemo and/or radiation. So what’s the big deal about trying to improve 2-year survival from 20% to 32%. One of my previous analyses showed that the USA leads the rest of the world in achieving increases in survival for cholangiocarcinoma patients, and maybe that is the case here.
In any case, unless the BILCAP results are much better than expected, I don’t see how a USA oncologist could prescribe Xeloda over GemCis for R0 & R1 resected cholangiocarcinoma patients.
Eventually, I will gather enough cc.org board data to produce statistically significant survival plots showing the effectiveness of chemo adjuvant therapy for resected R0 patients.
Bruce
June 5, 2013 at 12:22 am in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677812000milerSpectatorPercy – If it was survival analysis, I would have picked HR (hazard ratio). I’ve read several technical papers on cholangiocarcinoma survival and CI is usually not even mentioned. I took a quick look at the papers and found one by Yamashita, et al. “The Impact of Surgical Treatment and Poor Prognostic Factors for Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Retrospective Analysis of 60 Patients.” Table III in it is “Multivariate analysis to determine poor prognosis factors. Here’s part of it:
Overall survival Hazard ratio 95% CI p-factor
n(+) 28.3 5.4-148.0 <0.01
ly(+) 8.5 2.3-30.5 0.01
Poorly diff. 8.3 2.4-29.2 0.01
R1/2 6.4 1.4-28.7 0.01First of all confidence interval, by itself, means nothing. It is only meaningful in that it gives you a measure of how much the Hazard ratio can vary. Likewise, p-factor is only significant in that it tells you the calculation of Hazard ratio was statistically significant.
Now, I’m not familiar with measures of efficacy,OS and toxicities for your drug combo. Efficacy is the capacity to produce an effect. If that effect is a longer life, then it appears to me that Hazard ratio, CI, and p-factor would have the same role as in overall survival.
I’m probably missing something here.
Bruce
June 4, 2013 at 7:20 pm in reply to: Cholangiocarcinoma.org Statistics (CONTAINS SURVIVAL STATISTICS) #677792000milerSpectatorI have corrected the original post with the plot of survival for Resected SEER Intrahepatic CC Patients. Median survival increased from 2.50 years to 3.42 year for 0 positive node patients and 1.25 to 1.33 years for 1 positive node patients.
Percy – I tried to include 95% confidence intervals for the two curves, but had trouble. However, I do have 95% confidence intervals for the median survivals. For the 0 positive node case, the 95% confidence interval is 2.33 – 4.50 years and for the 1 positive node case, it is 1.17 – 1.67 years.
Bruce
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